College Football Best Bets, Picks & Analysis WEEK 8 | 10/17/24

Introduction

Welcome back, football fans! Crusty K here from the Gold Boys Network, ready to dive into some key matchups for College Football Week 8, specifically for Thursday and Friday games. Let’s break down the betting landscape and provide analysis for these exciting matchups.

Thursday Matchups

Georgia State vs. Marshall

As of now, Marshall is an 8.5-point favorite against Georgia State. My concern lies with Marshall's two-quarterback system featuring Stone Earl and Brilant Braxton. While I believe Braxton is the better quarterback, Marshall’s reliance on both can be frustrating for bettors. However, Georgia State struggles significantly against the run, allowing over 5 yards per carry in terms of EPA and landing in the bottom 30 nationally. I anticipate running back AJ Turner and the rest of Marshall's backfield will excel in this matchup. Given Georgia State's defensive woes, I’m going to lay the 8.5 points with Marshall and expect them to cover.

Boston College vs. Virginia Tech

Virginia Tech currently sits as a 7.5-point favorite at home against Boston College. I’m hesitant to back either side in this matchup but feel confident in betting the under at 48.5. The run-heavy strategies of both teams, coupled with solid defensive play, indicates a low-scoring affair. With both teams managing around a 57-58% rush rate, I envision the clock running down, and defenses will set the tone, resulting in a potential slugfest. This game could likely end in a score around 20-17, firmly hitting that under.

Friday Matchups

Florida State at Duke

Duke is a 3.5-point favorite in Friday's clash against Florida State. I’m opting for Duke on the money line at -150. While Duke isn’t perfect, I’m not confident in Florida State, especially after their recent performances. With Brock Glenn making his first start against Clemson, I find it difficult to rely on Florida State’s offense. Duke's solid defensive showing under Coach Elko supports my conviction that they can win at home, especially against a Florida State team with questionable motivation as their season wanes.

Oregon at Purdue

Oregon is currently favored by 27.5 points on the road against Purdue. It’s hard to ignore Oregon’s firepower, especially after their recent victory over Ohio State. Purdue has struggled mightily this season, and I think laying the points with Oregon is justified. Purdue’s defense is incapable of stopping Oregon’s high-octane offense, and even if Oregon takes their foot off the pedal, they should still cover this spread against a struggling team.

Oklahoma State at BYU

BYU is a 9.5-point favorite against Oklahoma State. This matchup presents challenges for Oklahoma State, who has fallen short of preseason expectations. With concerns over key players like Ali Gordon and potential quarterback changes, Oklahoma State's motivation is in question. Given this context, I’m backing BYU to cover. The Provo atmosphere complicates matters for visiting teams, and BYU’s strong defense will make life difficult for Oklahoma State’s struggling offense.

Fresno State at Nevada

In this matchup, Nevada is a 2.5-point home underdog to Fresno State. While I like Mikey Keene and the Fresno offense, the defense has been unreliable. Nevada has exceeded expectations this season, and I believe they can capitalize on Fresno’s defensive lapses. Taking Nevada at home on the money line (+118) seems enticing, given their recent performances and capabilities to pressure Fresno State’s offense.

In conclusion, these Thursday and Friday matchups showcase several intriguing betting opportunities. Check back for our Saturday analysis dropping soon!

Keywords

Georgia State, Marshall, Boston College, Virginia Tech, Florida State, Duke, Oregon, Purdue, Oklahoma State, BYU, Fresno State, Nevada, betting analysis, college football picks, Week 8.

FAQ

What teams are playing on Thursday?

Georgia State vs. Marshall and Boston College vs. Virginia Tech.

What is the recommended bet for the Georgia State vs. Marshall game?

Lay the 8.5 points with Marshall.

What is the best bet for the Boston College vs. Virginia Tech matchup?

Consider betting the under at 48.5 points.

What is the analysis for the Florida State at Duke game?

Bet on Duke Moneyline as Florida State’s motivation may be lacking.

Which game has the largest spread?

Oregon is favored by 27.5 points against Purdue.

What should I consider when betting on Oklahoma State at BYU?

Evaluate the motivation of Oklahoma State and consider backing BYU to cover the 9.5 points.

What’s the outlook for Fresno State at Nevada?

Take Nevada on the money line as they have performed well against expectations.